On June 4, the Election Commission of India will tally hundreds of millions of votes in a matter of hours, declaring the results of the country’s 18th Lok Sabha election after six weeks and seven stages of the world’s largest democratic exercise.
The results will determine who will lead India’s next government. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will seek a third consecutive term in government, while the Congress-led opposition aims to unseat them.
Voting Percentage
The voter participation in the last phase of the general election 2024 increased to 63.9% by Sunday evening, up from 61.6% reported by the Election Commission at 11.45 p.m. on Saturday.
Phase 7 polling statistics showed a gradual improvement from Phase 5, which had the lowest turnout at 62.2%, to Phase 6, when 63.2% of the electorate voted.
Turnout, which is currently based on EVM votes and does not include postal ballots, has fluctuated throughout the stages, with Phase 4 recording the highest polling at 69.2%, followed by 66.7% in Phase 2, 66.1% in Phase 1, and 65.7% in Phase 3.
According to the Voter Turnout app, West Bengal has the highest polling rate among the states in Phase 7 (77%). Three additional states recorded turnouts of more than 70%: Odisha, with 74.4% of voters voting, and Jharkhand and Himachal Pradesh, both with 70.9%.
Chandigarh, a Union territory, trailed closely behind with 68% of the vote. However, Punjab’s EVM turnout of 62.8% was much lower than its 2019 turnout of 65.9%, which did include postal ballots.
The slowest polling was in the cowbelt states of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, with 55.9% and 53.3%, respectively.
Hindi heartland
The BJP and its National Democratic Alliance (NDA) are expected to win the Hindi heartland states of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, and Uttar Pradesh in the recently finished parliamentary elections, according to the News18 Mega Exit Poll.
Due to its numerical strength, the Hindi belt is important in determining political power in India. The northern states account for 245 seats in the Lok Sabha, while the Hindi belt, excluding Punjab and Jammu & Kashmir, has 226.
While BJP leaders were delighted over exit poll findings predicting a landslide victory for the National Democratic Alliance, opposition INDIA alliance leaders dismissed the numbers, claiming they would form the Centre’s government after gaining at least 295 seats.
‘No truth in exit polls’
Jharkhand Chief Minister Champai Soren predicted that the INDIA alliance will win more than 10 seats in the state and more than 295 seats nationwide.
In an interview, Soren said that the India Alliance is gaining over 295 seats and that there was no truth in exit polls.
He stated that they have an excellent scenario in Jharkhand, declaring that they will win more than 10 seats in the state.
The ruling Jharkhand Mukti Morcha is a member of the INDIA alliance and forms a coalition government with the Congress in the state.
BJP to win a ‘large majority’ in the Lok Sabha elections
With support from the BJP-led NDA, O Panneerselvam, the former chief minister of Tamil Nadu and former member of the AIADMK, ran as an independent in the Ramanathapuram Lok Sabha seat. He predicted that the BJP would win a “large majority” in the Lok Sabha elections.
After offering prayers at the Meenakshi Amman temple in Madurai, Panneerselvam said that there was a good chance that the BJP would get a large majority in the recent elections and form a government again.
He also says that his victory chance is ‘very bright.’
Union Minister Shantanu Thakur, who ran for the Bangaon Lok Sabha seat, announced that his party will win 22 seats, following exit polls which indicated the BJP would overtake the TMC in West Bengal.
We’ll take home 22 seats. Congress will win 1 seat and the TMC will win 19, declared Thakur.
The TMC secured 22 out of the state’s 42 Lok Sabha seats in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, while the BJP secured 18 seats. Only two seats were gained by Congress.
Exit polls on Sunday predicted that Odisha will be a neck-and-neck race, with the two-decade rule of Naveen Patnaik’s Biju Janata Dal facing a stiff challenge from the BJP in the Assembly elections.
The party’s State president, Manmohan Samal, stated that Prime Minister Modi deserves all the credit and that most people are devoted to him
Samal said that the public of Odisha want to change and they will dethrone the BJD government. He also added that the public is convinced and they fought the elections on the behalf of BJP.
The BJD, led by Naveen Patnaik, won a resounding victory in the 2019 legislative assembly elections, taking home 112 of the 147 available seats in the state. Nine seats were won by the Congress, while 23 were won by the BJP.
‘400 paar’
According to exit polls conducted on Saturday, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance is expected to win the Lok Sabha elections three times with a sizable majority. These polls also suggested that the party in power at the federal level would do better in several states that other parties control.
A few exit polls suggested that the NDA, led by the BJP, may accomplish the “400 paar” target that BJP leaders had set in the days leading up to the Lok Sabha elections.
Exit polls indicated that the current BJP-led NDA will improve on its 2019 result, when it won 352 seats. Two polls indicated that the BJP will increase its numbers from the 303 seats it won in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections.
The Narendra Modi-led BJP is vying for a third term in office, while the opposition INDIA alliance hopes to grab power by stopping the juggernaut.